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Post by Deleted on Jul 9, 2014 12:07:17 GMT
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Kulamata
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Post by Kulamata on Jul 9, 2014 22:38:08 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Jul 10, 2014 10:54:10 GMT
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Post by Pharcellus on Jul 20, 2014 20:13:24 GMT
It's the same kind of fascination of watching people attempting to win Darwin awards.
The stupid runs deep in politicians, especially Republican/"Conservative" ones, even more especially ones from midwest/midsouth heavily red states, and most especially ones which have conflict of interest holes in their platforms so large that you can fly super star destroyers through them with light years of clearance.
Stupid really should hurt, and fantastically/monumentally stupid should be fatal. It would solve the problem nicely, I think. Unfortunately, nature doesn't always punish the stupid with extreme prejudice, hence why it still sticks with us to this day. Doesn't mean we have to continue to put up with it, though.
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Post by Kulamata on Aug 22, 2014 2:58:58 GMT
Heat Stored in AtlanticLately, global surface temperatures have plateaued. Since increasing amounts of greenhouse gases are still being released, the laws of physics, inexorable as they are, were telling that heating was increasing. We weren't seeing it, so it obviously had to be occurring where we weren't looking, which these days is only the ocean depths. Because the Pacific is so large, there was just sort of a natural bias to assume that that's where the heat was. So the finding that it's in the Atlantic instead is a bit of a surprise. If you look carefully at the temperature curve over the last 135 years or so, (The red curve averages out short term variation, so that's the one to use) you'll see that periods of quiescence occur fairly often, usually to be followed by a steep "burst" upwards, as the curve returns to the recent slope upward. Historical Surface TemperaturesIt appears that we've been in a quiet period lately, but with predictions of a mild El Nino later this year, it seems likely that the curve will jump upwards again soon. Meanwhile, other news gets worse. Glacier melting rates continue to increase. www.cnn.com/2014/05/12/us/nasa-antarctica-ice-melt/. Very new research indicates that the carbon trapped in the permafrost may be released as the permafrost melts is broken down by micro flora and fauna but even more quickly by sunlight alone. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/08/140821141548.htmThat one scares me; tipping points are very bad news. And the oceans continue to acidify...
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Post by Pharcellus on Aug 23, 2014 19:03:48 GMT
Not surprised, really. We have known for years now that the heat was going into the oceans; the only mystery was where. Since we have vastly fewer thermometers in the oceans, it is no surprise that it took a while to find the missing heat.
It is nice that they have teased the warming/cooling cycle of the ocean heat conveyor belt out of historical data now. The only issue is that, if cool phase of the cycle is 30 years, and it started in 1999, that means we will have another 15 years or so before the heat returns with a vengeance.
I guess we should make the best of it for the next decade or so, then. Heaven knows that it won't motivate us to do anything significant about carbon emissions.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 7, 2014 9:46:04 GMT
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Post by Kulamata on Jan 17, 2015 2:26:39 GMT
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Post by Kulamata on Jan 17, 2015 2:48:34 GMT
There's been some hope in the skeptics' camp that global warming has ceased. This was encouraged by deniers' choosing a previous peak and contrasting it with the recent high average plateau, rather than high vs. high or average vs. average. As was widely expected a couple of weeks ago when the first agency, the Japanese, announced a new record high temperature for the world in 2014, NASA and NOAA have announced the same result from their (different) data bases. Of the four agencies collecting and collating this data, the British results are the only ones we're still waiting for. I'm using the Wired link, because it has the most easily readable and comprehensive set of charts. www.wired.com/2015/01/2014-hottest-year-ever/It's important to note that it was an average-ish sort of year; no major volcanic events or la nina to drive the surface temperatures down, and no el nino to cause a temperature peak. This means that when the various cycles combine to create a peak year, and we have an el nino, it should be a major record breaking year. The beginning baby steps being discussed are looking a decade late and a billion shy.
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Post by Pharcellus on Jan 28, 2015 5:48:11 GMT
Well, climate science denial died this week.
Richard Muller, head of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project and noted AGW skeptic, has now admitted he was wrong and joined the consensus that the globe is radically warming and climate is radically changing as a result.
For those who don't remember, the BEST project is a non-profit founded by Muller and a bunch of other "skeptics" and fence-sitters, including being funded / supported by several key players in the denial echo chamber, including Koch Industries and Anthony Watts. Their goal was to "do it right", claiming that all the other scientists were "doing it wrong". The results of their efforts were largely the same as what had already been discovered, vindicating, yet again, the "hockey stick", and the primary cause of global warming: increasing CO2 from fossil fuel burning.
So yeah, the debate over whether it is happening or not, and who/what is causing it is over. It is time to move on to mitigation. Anyone still in doubt is simply and provably being irrational at this point.
Original video about Muller and BEST, from 2011:
Latest video of Muller admitting he was wrong:
Stick a fork in it; it's done.
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Post by Kulamata on May 19, 2015 0:50:05 GMT
www.climatecentral.org/news/indian-ocean-heat-19003A big step in answering the questions about apparent decrease in rate of warming; it was clear the heat was being stored in the oceans rather than being transferred to the atmosphere, but why? And exactly where?
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Post by Kulamata on Nov 19, 2015 1:42:44 GMT
Annnnd We Have A New Record!From the annals of "tolja so", comes an alltime record high month, October, driven by an alltime record El Nino. It's happening, and we aren't doing much about it; let's hope the Paris conference gets the ball rolling faster. The physics of the thing are simple and straight-forward; we put hundreds of millions of tons of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, there is no phenomenon existent to block the inevitable greenhouse effect, so why would anyone expect anything different? There is more than $1 Trillion in claimed fossil fuel assets still sitting in the ground; that'd be a hell of a write-off. I suppose it's much cheaper to finance some professional nay-sayers to fight a delaying action as long as possible.
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Post by Pharcellus on Nov 21, 2015 21:10:30 GMT
Yeah, I've been predicting this for years. Once we get out of the cooling phase of various oscillations, the heat was going to come back with a vengeance. Already, Australia is having massive heat waves, and summer has only barely started there.
If this is going to be a record El Nino, it is going to kill a lot of people, and the weather, as crazy as it is right now, is going to be the strangest and most severe yet.
Buckle up, stock up the pantry/shelter, and make sure you've got good batteries in the radio and flashlights.
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